monetary
Yield Curve Spread (10y-2y)
Difference between 10-year and 2-year government bond yields
π¨π¦ Canada
0 bps
πΊπΈ United States
4 bpsβΌ 2
As of 2026-01-01
Historical Comparison
- Canada
- United States
Why it matters
Inversion (negative spread) has predicted every modern recession.
Frequency: annual
Units: basis points
Seasonal adj.: N/A
Importance: 8/10